It is anyone's guess what the political map will look like a week from now, but in Ceredigion the Ukip candidate, Gethin James, recently told a friend that Mike Parker will win, based on what he is hearing on the doorstep. His goal now is to beat Labour's Huw Tippex Thomas and take third place.
Nick Robinson was pontificating on the BBC the other day that this is the most localised general election in living memory, with very different scenarios being played out in different parts of Britain.
What Robinson could not have imagined when he said that was that Ukip in Ceredigion would take localism to undreamed of levels, with Gethin James using a general election campaign to bang on at length about public conveniences during a recent hustings in Aberystwyth.
With five days to go, the postman has delivered only Plaid and Labour leaflets, and only Plaid has been round knocking doors in this part of Carmarthen East and Dinefwr. Nothing at all from the Tories, the LibDems or Ukip, who are also standing.
Actually, that's not quite true, because the run-away winner in terms of paper shoved through the letterbox here is Mark Williams, the LibDem candidate over in Ceredigion. To date we have received two leaflets and two LibDem "newspapers" in the last fortnight.
The newspapers, which claim among other things that Mark Williams is standing up for Ceredigion, were printed in Barnsley, and it turns out that they bear an uncanny resemblance to LibDem newspapers being dished out in Brecon and Radnor and Montgomeryshire.
Right down to identical quotes attributed to different people.
"The work that [insert name of candidate] is doing for our area is really amazing, and it's why I'm backing him/her [delete as appropriate] on 7th May", said Mrs K Williams/Jamie from Aberystwyth/Frank from Welshpool [delete as appropriate].
But there is life outside the general election campaign.
The miners strike
More rumours are coming in that knives are being sharpened for a bloodletting in the Carmarthenshire Labour Party once the diversion of the general election is out of the way, with Kevin Madge facing a war on two fronts.
The names to watch are Cllr Jeff Edmunds for the Llanelli wing and Cllr Anthony Jones for the Ammanford tendency.
Men in suits
Meanwhile one recently recruited senior officer is said to have concluded that Carmarthenshire County Council is a shambles and is off to pastures new after just a couple of months in the job. This early departure would help restore the natural order of things in the senior ranks as a preserve for men in suits.